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Conditional Probabilistic Reasoning

Conditional Probabilistic Reasoning

In this lesson, we will learn how to express probabilities with extra conditions.

Expressing Probabilities With an Extra Condition

We’re going to spend the next lessons in this course on expressing probabilities that have some sort of extra condition associated with them.

We’ll start with a simple example: We want to roll a fair six-sided die, but discard the threes. Why? Maybe we dislike threes. Doesn’t matter; we will want to be able to create new distributions by putting conditions on other distributions, so let’s figure out how to do so.

Now, of course, we could create the desired distribution easily enough; as we know from the previous ...